In a survey of 23,500 New Zealand cannabis users, 60% reported that cannabis led to less alcohol and synthetic cannabinoid use, with substitution patterns varying significantly by age, ethnicity, and location.
Drug policy researchers; harm reduction practitioners.
60% reported cannabis led to less alcohol and less synthetic cannabinoid use
What the researchers found
Sixty percent reported cannabis use led to less alcohol use, 60% to less synthetic cannabinoid use, 44% to less morphine use, and 40% to less methamphetamine use. Cannabis had no impact on LSD, MDMA, or cocaine use for about 70% of co-users. One in five reported cannabis led to more tobacco use. Young adults (21-35) and Maori were more likely to report substitution.
Why it matters
The cannabis substitution debate has real policy implications: if cannabis replaces more dangerous substances for some populations, restriction policies may inadvertently increase harm. This is among the largest studies to document substitution patterns and, critically, to show these patterns differ by demographic group.
The numbers in context
23,500 respondents. 60% reported less alcohol use, 60% less synthetic cannabinoid use, 44% less morphine use, 40% less methamphetamine use. 70% no impact on LSD/MDMA/cocaine. 20% more tobacco use. Young adults (21-35) more likely to substitute for alcohol and methamphetamine. Maori more likely to substitute across multiple substances.
How the study worked
Online convenience survey promoted via Facebook, completed by 23,500 New Zealand respondents. Those who co-used cannabis and any of eight other substances in the same six-month period rated cannabis's impact on their other substance use. Frequency and quantity were compared across groups. Generalized logistic regression modeled predictors.
What this study cannot tell us
Convenience sample recruited via Facebook is not representative of all cannabis users. Self-reported substitution effects may reflect perceived rather than actual changes. Cross-sectional data cannot establish causal direction. New Zealand's drug market may differ from other countries.
How to read the evidence
Moderate: very large sample with detailed demographic analysis, but convenience sampling, self-reported outcomes, and cross-sectional design limit causal conclusions.
When this study was published
2024 study.
The bigger picture
Cannabis policy often assumes a "gateway" model where cannabis leads to more drug use. This large-scale evidence from New Zealand supports an alternative model for many users: cannabis as a substitute that reduces use of potentially more harmful substances, particularly alcohol, opioids, and methamphetamine.
Questions still open
- Would cannabis legalization in New Zealand shift substitution patterns? Do the demographic differences in substitution reflect cultural attitudes, access to other substances, or different pharmacological responses?
Common questions
Does cannabis actually replace alcohol use?
Why did Maori report more substitution?
Read the original research
Exploring the substitution of cannabis for alcohol and other drugs among a large convenience sample of people who use cannabis.
Harm reduction journal, 21(1), 192
Citation
Wilkins, Chris; Romeo, Jose; Rychert, Marta; Graydon-Guy, Thomas. (2024). Exploring the substitution of cannabis for alcohol and other drugs among a large convenience sample of people who use cannabis.. Harm reduction journal, 21(1), 192. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12954-024-01111-w
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