In a 10-year follow-up of 192 first-episode psychosis patients, four distinct symptom trajectories emerged, with frequent cannabis use in the first five years linked to delayed remission and stimulant use linked to relapse.
Psychiatrists, early psychosis intervention teams, and addiction researchers
10-year follow-up of 192 first-episode psychosis patients
What the researchers found
Four trajectories emerged: Stable Remission (54.2%), Delayed Remission (15.6%), Psychotic Relapse (7.8%), and Persistent Symptoms (22.4%). Delayed Remission was associated with frequent cannabis and stimulant use during the first five years, with dose-dependent effects for cannabis but not stimulants. Psychotic Relapse was associated with sporadic stimulant use throughout the full follow-up period.
Why it matters
Understanding which substance use patterns drive specific long-term psychosis trajectories can help clinicians prioritize substance use interventions. The dose-dependent cannabis effect suggests even reduction (not just cessation) may improve outcomes.
The numbers in context
192 participants; 10-year follow-up; 54.2% Stable Remission; 15.6% Delayed Remission; 7.8% Psychotic Relapse; 22.4% Persistent Symptoms; dose-dependent cannabis effect on unfavorable trajectories; all unfavorable trajectories had more schizophrenia diagnoses and longer untreated psychosis
How the study worked
Ten-year follow-up of 192 participants with first-episode psychosis using growth mixture modeling to identify psychotic symptom trajectories. Associations with baseline characteristics and concurrent cannabis/stimulant use during follow-up were tested.
What this study cannot tell us
Observational design cannot prove causation; substance use assessed during follow-up may be a consequence rather than cause of symptoms; 10-year attrition; cannot distinguish cannabis types or potencies; relatively small trajectory subgroups
How to read the evidence
Long-term prospective cohort with data-driven trajectory analysis, though limited by observational design and modest sample sizes within trajectory groups.
When this study was published
2024 study with 10-year follow-up data
The bigger picture
The finding that cannabis has dose-dependent effects while stimulants show binary effects on psychosis trajectories suggests these substances operate through different mechanisms and may require different intervention approaches.
Questions still open
- Would structured cannabis reduction interventions during the first five years of psychosis treatment shift patients from the Delayed Remission to Stable Remission trajectory? Why does stimulant use show a different temporal pattern of risk than cannabis?
Common questions
What were the long-term outcomes for first-episode psychosis patients?
How did cannabis and stimulant use affect outcomes differently?
Read the original research
Behind the heterogeneity in the long-term course of first-episode psychosis: Different psychotic symptom trajectories are associated with different patterns of cannabis and stimulant use.
Schizophrenia research, 271, 91-99
Citation
Kreis, Isabel; Lagerberg, Trine Vik; Wold, Kristin Fjelnseth; Åsbø, Gina; Simonsen, Carmen; Flaaten, Camilla Bärthel; Engen, Magnus Johan; Lyngstad, Siv Hege; Widing, Line Hustad; Ueland, Torill; Melle, Ingrid. (2024). Behind the heterogeneity in the long-term course of first-episode psychosis: Different psychotic symptom trajectories are associated with different patterns of cannabis and stimulant use.. Schizophrenia research, 271, 91-99. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.schres.2024.07.006
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