New LGS diagnoses jumped nearly 60% after CBD was approved for the condition in 2018, suggesting some diagnoses may have been influenced by treatment availability rather than clinical criteria.
Epileptologists, FDA policy analysts, ICD coding researchers, diagnostic accuracy advocates
What the researchers found
Annual LGS incidence rose ~30% from 2018 to 2019 and ~60% from 2017 to 2019, before returning to pre-approval baseline (2020-2023). This temporary spike occurred in temporal proximity to the 2018 FDA approval of CBD (Epidiolex) for LGS-associated seizures.
Why it matters
If new treatments drive diagnoses rather than the other way around, it undermines both clinical accuracy and research integrity. This pattern suggests some patients may have been labeled with LGS specifically to access CBD treatment.
The numbers in context
Incidence rate: ~30% increase 2018-2019, ~60% increase 2017-2019. Returned to baseline 2020-2023. Temporal correlation with June 2018 FDA approval of Epidiolex for LGS.
How the study worked
Retrospective analysis computing annual new LGS diagnoses in the US from 2017-2023 using a large population-based electronic health record database.
What this study cannot tell us
Administrative data with ICD codes cannot confirm diagnostic accuracy. Cannot prove causation between CBD approval and diagnosis increase. Multiple factors may have contributed. COVID-19 may have affected 2020-2021 diagnostic patterns. Insurance coding practices may have changed independently.
How to read the evidence
Large population-based database provides reliable trend data, but administrative records cannot distinguish genuine incidence changes from coding practice changes.
When this study was published
Published 2026 analyzing 2017-2023 EHR data following 2018 Epidiolex FDA approval.
The bigger picture
This is a cautionary tale about how treatment availability can distort diagnostic practices — relevant beyond just epilepsy, as new cannabis-based treatments for other conditions could create similar diagnostic inflation if criteria aren't strictly maintained.
Questions still open
- Were the excess diagnoses actual LGS, diagnostic code updates, or misdiagnoses? Did patients who received expanded LGS diagnoses benefit from CBD treatment? Should approval of new treatments trigger enhanced diagnostic auditing?
Common questions
Did CBD approval change how often Lennox-Gastaut syndrome was diagnosed?
Were people being misdiagnosed to get CBD?
Read the original research
A temporary spike: Investigating Lennox-Gastaut syndrome incidence in the US following FDA approval of cannabidiol.
Epileptic disorders : international epilepsy journal with videotape
Citation
Marcinski Nascimento, Kaley J; Li, Yifan; Lin, Binx Y; Dixon-Salazar, Tracy; Perry, M Scott; Xu, Kevin Young; Nascimento, Fábio A. (2026). A temporary spike: Investigating Lennox-Gastaut syndrome incidence in the US following FDA approval of cannabidiol.. Epileptic disorders : international epilepsy journal with videotape. https://doi.org/10.1002/epd2.70168
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