Cannabis Consequences Predicted Later Depression More Than Depression Predicted Cannabis Use

Among 961 high-risk emerging adults tracked over two years, negative consequences from cannabis use predicted subsequent depressive symptoms more strongly than the reverse, particularly among women.

Halladay, Jillian et al.·Psychological medicine·2025·Moderate Evidencelongitudinal-study
RTHC-06617Longitudinal StudyModerate Evidence2025RETHINKTHC RESEARCH DATABASErethinkthc.com/research

Quick Facts

Study Type
longitudinal-study
Evidence
Moderate Evidence
Sample
Not reported

What This Study Found

Using seven assessments over two years, significant bidirectional within-person relationships were found between cannabis consequences and internalizing symptoms, but the primary direction was from cannabis consequences to increased depressive symptoms, not from depression to increased cannabis use. Importantly, cannabis use frequency alone did not predict later symptoms; only negative consequences did. The bidirectional relationships were more pronounced among females and those with clinically elevated internalizing symptoms at baseline.

Key Numbers

961 emerging adults; 54% female; 7 assessments over 2 years; cannabis consequences predicted depressive symptoms (within-person); frequency alone did not predict symptoms; effects stronger in females and those with clinical-level baseline symptoms

How They Did This

Longitudinal study of 961 high-risk emerging adults (54% female) from two cohorts (Ontario, Canada and Tennessee, USA), assessed at 4-month intervals over 2 years (2018-2020). Latent curve models with structured residuals examined within-person and between-person bidirectional relationships.

Why This Research Matters

This clarifies a longstanding debate: it is the problems from cannabis use (not the use itself) that predict worsening mental health. This distinction has practical implications, as interventions that reduce cannabis-related harm could prevent downstream depression even without full abstinence.

The Bigger Picture

The finding that consequences, not frequency, drive the mental health link suggests that harm reduction approaches, which aim to reduce negative outcomes without requiring abstinence, may be effective for preventing depression in young cannabis users.

What This Study Doesn't Tell Us

High-risk sample may not generalize to general population. Self-report measures. Study period overlapped with early COVID-19 pandemic. Four-month intervals may miss shorter-term dynamics. Consequences and symptoms may share reporting bias.

Questions This Raises

  • ?Would harm reduction interventions that reduce cannabis consequences also prevent depressive episodes?
  • ?Why are females more vulnerable to this bidirectional relationship?

Trust & Context

Key Stat:
Evidence Grade:
Moderate: strong longitudinal design with multiple assessments and advanced modeling, but self-report measures and high-risk sample.
Study Age:
2025 publication using 2018-2020 data
Original Title:
Examining bidirectional associations between cannabis use and internalizing symptoms among high-risk emerging adults: A prospective cohort study.
Published In:
Psychological medicine, 55, e291 (2025)
Database ID:
RTHC-06617

Evidence Hierarchy

Meta-Analysis / Systematic Review
Randomized Controlled Trial
Cohort / Case-Control
Cross-Sectional / ObservationalSnapshot without intervening
This study
Case Report / Animal Study
What do these levels mean? →

Read More on RethinkTHC

Cite This Study

RTHC-06617·https://rethinkthc.com/research/RTHC-06617

APA

Halladay, Jillian; Belisario, Kyla; McDonald, André; Acuff, Samuel; Doggett, Amanda; Garber, Molly; Maxwell, Andrea; Murphy, James; MacKillop, James. (2025). Examining bidirectional associations between cannabis use and internalizing symptoms among high-risk emerging adults: A prospective cohort study.. Psychological medicine, 55, e291. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0033291725101700

MLA

Halladay, Jillian, et al. "Examining bidirectional associations between cannabis use and internalizing symptoms among high-risk emerging adults: A prospective cohort study.." Psychological medicine, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0033291725101700

RethinkTHC

RethinkTHC Research Database. "Examining bidirectional associations between cannabis use an..." RTHC-06617. Retrieved from https://rethinkthc.com/research/halladay-2025-examining-bidirectional-associations-between

Access the Original Study

Study data sourced from PubMed, a service of the U.S. National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health.

This study breakdown was produced by the RethinkTHC research team. We analyze and report published research findings without making health recommendations. All interpretations are based solely on the published abstract and study data.