In a prospective study of 2,327 college students, dual cigarette/e-cigarette use was the strongest predictor of starting marijuana vaping, while social networks with marijuana users and vape shop frequenters predicted escalation.
Substance use prevention researchers, college health professionals, and vaping policy makers.
Dual tobacco product use strongest predictor of marijuana vaping onset
What the researchers found
Among 2,327 young adults followed for one year, dual cigarette/e-cigarette use at baseline was the strongest predictor of marijuana vaping initiation among non-marijuana users. Social networks with more regular marijuana users predicted marijuana vaping initiation. Among existing e-cigarette and marijuana users, having social networks with people who frequented vape shops predicted increased marijuana vaping over time.
Why it matters
Marijuana vaping is increasing rapidly among young adults but its risk factors are poorly understood. Identifying that dual tobacco product use and social networks drive initiation helps target prevention.
The numbers in context
2,327 young adults; mean age 21.2; 54% women; 1-year follow-up (2017-2019); dual cigarette/e-cigarette use strongest predictor of initiation; vape shop social networks predicted escalation.
How the study worked
One-year prospective study of 2,327 young adults (mean age 21.2, 54% women) at 2-year and 4-year colleges in Hawaii, using validated measures of substance use, social network characteristics, and marketing exposure at baseline and follow-up.
What this study cannot tell us
Hawaii sample (unique cultural and legal context); 1-year follow-up may miss longer-term patterns; self-report measures; college students may not represent all young adults; did not assess vaping device types or THC concentrations.
How to read the evidence
Strong: large prospective design with 1-year follow-up and validated measures.
When this study was published
Published 2020.
The bigger picture
The vape shop connection is notable: social environments where nicotine vaping is normalized appear to facilitate marijuana vaping escalation. This suggests that marijuana vaping prevention may need to address the broader vaping culture, not just marijuana-specific messaging.
Questions still open
- Do vape shops actively facilitate marijuana vaping adoption? Would e-cigarette regulation indirectly reduce marijuana vaping initiation?
Common questions
What predicts who will start vaping marijuana?
What makes marijuana vaping get worse over time?
Read the original research
Predictors of marijuana vaping onset and escalation among young adults.
Drug and alcohol dependence, 216, 108320
Citation
Pokhrel, Pallav; Fagan, Pebbles; Kawamoto, Crissy T; Okamoto, Scott K; Herzog, Thaddeus A. (2020). Predictors of marijuana vaping onset and escalation among young adults.. Drug and alcohol dependence, 216, 108320. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2020.108320
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