More Social Media Time Was Linked to Cannabis Experimentation in Early Teens
Each additional hour of daily social media use at age 12 was associated with higher odds of cannabis experimentation by age 14, with positive beliefs about cannabis mediating about 20% of the association.
Quick Facts
What This Study Found
Daily social media time at Year 2 (around age 12) was significantly associated with cannabis experimentation at Year 4 (around age 14). Positive cannabis expectancies mediated 19.8% and negative expectancies mediated 13.6% of the social media-cannabis use association, even after adjusting for friends' cannabis use.
Key Numbers
n=7,691; mean age 12 at baseline; social media-cannabis association B=0.18 (95% CI 0.13-0.24, p<0.001); positive expectancies mediated 19.8%; negative expectancies mediated 13.6% of the association.
How They Did This
Longitudinal analysis of ABCD Study data (n=7,691, mean age 12 at Year 2), examining associations between daily social media time and cannabis use outcomes two years later, with mediation analysis testing whether cannabis expectancies at Year 3 explained the relationship.
Why This Research Matters
With early adolescents spending increasing time on social media, understanding how digital media exposure shapes substance use attitudes and behaviors is critical for prevention. The mediation finding suggests that social media may influence cannabis initiation partly by shaping beliefs about its effects.
The Bigger Picture
This study connects two major public health concerns: youth social media use and early substance initiation. The mediation through expectancies suggests that cannabis content on social media platforms may shape adolescent beliefs before direct experimentation occurs.
What This Study Doesn't Tell Us
Observational design cannot prove social media causes cannabis use. Self-reported social media time may be inaccurate. Cannot identify what specific social media content drives the association (cannabis-specific content, peer influence, or general risk-taking culture). Residual confounding from unmeasured family and peer factors.
Questions This Raises
- ?What types of social media content most strongly influence cannabis expectancies?
- ?Would platform-specific content moderation reduce early cannabis experimentation?
- ?Are there protective factors that buffer the social media-cannabis association?
Trust & Context
- Key Stat:
- Positive cannabis expectancies mediated ~20% of the social media-cannabis experimentation link
- Evidence Grade:
- Moderate: Large longitudinal sample from the well-designed ABCD Study with proper temporal ordering and mediation analysis, though observational design limits causal conclusions.
- Study Age:
- Published in 2025 using ABCD Study data from 2018-2020.
- Original Title:
- Cannabis expectancies mediate the association between social media use and cannabis experimentation in early adolescents: A prospective cohort study.
- Published In:
- Drug and alcohol dependence, 277, 112947 (2025)
- Authors:
- Nagata, Jason M(4), Caffrey, Andrew, Nguyen, Nathan D, Nayak, Sahana, Frimpong, Isaac, Helmer, Christiane K, Ricklefs, Colbey, Al-Shoaibi, Abubakr A, Testa, Alexander, Brindis, Claire D, Santos, Glenn-Milo, Baker, Fiona C
- Database ID:
- RTHC-07225
Evidence Hierarchy
Follows a group of people over time to track how outcomes develop.
What do these levels mean? →Frequently Asked Questions
What are cannabis expectancies?
Cannabis expectancies are beliefs about the anticipated positive or negative effects of using cannabis. Positive expectancies (e.g., expecting relaxation or fun) predicted higher likelihood of trying cannabis, while negative expectancies (e.g., expecting health harm) predicted lower likelihood.
Does social media directly cause teens to try cannabis?
This study found an association but cannot prove direct causation. Social media may influence cannabis initiation through multiple pathways, including shaping beliefs about cannabis effects, exposing youth to pro-cannabis content, and connecting them with peers who use cannabis.
Read More on RethinkTHC
Cite This Study
https://rethinkthc.com/research/RTHC-07225APA
Nagata, Jason M; Caffrey, Andrew; Nguyen, Nathan D; Nayak, Sahana; Frimpong, Isaac; Helmer, Christiane K; Ricklefs, Colbey; Al-Shoaibi, Abubakr A; Testa, Alexander; Brindis, Claire D; Santos, Glenn-Milo; Baker, Fiona C. (2025). Cannabis expectancies mediate the association between social media use and cannabis experimentation in early adolescents: A prospective cohort study.. Drug and alcohol dependence, 277, 112947. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2025.112947
MLA
Nagata, Jason M, et al. "Cannabis expectancies mediate the association between social media use and cannabis experimentation in early adolescents: A prospective cohort study.." Drug and alcohol dependence, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2025.112947
RethinkTHC
RethinkTHC Research Database. "Cannabis expectancies mediate the association between social..." RTHC-07225. Retrieved from https://rethinkthc.com/research/nagata-2025-cannabis-expectancies-mediate-the
Access the Original Study
Study data sourced from PubMed, a service of the U.S. National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health.
This study breakdown was produced by the RethinkTHC research team. We analyze and report published research findings without making health recommendations. All interpretations are based solely on the published abstract and study data.