Using data from over 204,000 students in Uruguay and Chile, researchers found that Uruguay's 2013 cannabis legalization was not associated with increases in past-year or past-month use, or sustained increases in risky or frequent cannabis use among secondary students.
Cannabis policy researchers; legislators considering legalization models; international drug policy organizations.
No sustained increases in youth cannabis use after Uruguay legalization
What the researchers found
Past-year and past-month cannabis use decreased after legalization. Among students 18-21 (legally eligible), there was a transitory increase in risky use in 2014 that decreased afterward. No sustained increases in risky or frequent cannabis use were found for any age group.
Why it matters
Uruguay was the first country to fully legalize recreational cannabis. This large-scale evaluation provides crucial evidence that a non-commercial legalization model did not increase youth cannabis use, countering a primary concern about legalization.
The numbers in context
204,730 students. Past-year and past-month use decreased after enactment/implementation. Ages 18-21 showed transitory increases in 2014: risky use PD=13.5% (95% CI 2.0-24.9), frequent use PD=4.5% (95% CI 1.0-8.1), but these decreased after 2014.
How the study worked
Difference-in-differences analysis comparing repeated cross-sectional surveys of secondary students in Uruguay and Chile (control) from 2007-2018. 204,730 students in 8th, 10th, and 12th grade. Examined changes after enactment (2014) and implementation (2016) of legalization.
What this study cannot tell us
Chile as a control country may not be perfectly comparable. School surveys miss adolescents who have dropped out. Self-reported cannabis use may be affected by changing social norms post-legalization. The implementation period was gradual, making effect attribution difficult.
How to read the evidence
Strong: large sample, appropriate difference-in-differences design with a control country, covering 11 years of data.
When this study was published
Published in 2022, covering data from 2007-2018.
The bigger picture
Uruguay's non-commercial model (state-regulated pharmacies, home growing, cannabis clubs) is fundamentally different from the commercial models adopted in US states and Canada. The finding that this model did not increase youth use adds support for regulated non-commercial approaches.
Questions still open
- Would a commercial legalization model produce different youth outcomes? Did the transitory 2014 increase reflect curiosity that naturally faded? How do youth in Uruguay perceive cannabis risk after legalization?
Common questions
Did legalizing cannabis increase teenage use in Uruguay?
Is Uruguay's legalization model different from the US?
Read the original research
Does recreational cannabis legalization change cannabis use patterns? Evidence from secondary school students in Uruguay.
Addiction (Abingdon, England), 117(11), 2866-2877
Citation
Rivera-Aguirre, Ariadne; Castillo-Carniglia, Alvaro; Laqueur, Hannah S; Rudolph, Kara E; Martins, Silva S; Ramírez, Jessica; Queirolo, Rosario; Cerdá, Magdalena. (2022). Does recreational cannabis legalization change cannabis use patterns? Evidence from secondary school students in Uruguay.. Addiction (Abingdon, England), 117(11), 2866-2877. https://doi.org/10.1111/add.15913