Medical Cannabis Laws Had No Effect on Opioid Treatment or Overdose in Chronic Pain Patients

Among Medicare patients with chronic noncancer pain in 7 states, medical cannabis laws had no measurable effect on cannabis or opioid use disorder treatment or overdose-related healthcare use.

McGinty, Emma E et al.·The Milbank quarterly·2025·Strong EvidenceRetrospective Cohort
RTHC-07102Retrospective CohortStrong Evidence2025RETHINKTHC RESEARCH DATABASErethinkthc.com/research

Quick Facts

Study Type
Retrospective Cohort
Evidence
Strong Evidence
Sample
Not reported

What This Study Found

Medical cannabis laws had estimated effects of less than 0.005 percentage points on CUD or OUD treatment, less than 0.009 points on new treatment initiation, and less than 0.0005 points on overdose-related care (all p > 0.05). The findings do not support the hypothesis that medical cannabis laws reduce opioid-related harms among chronic pain patients.

Key Numbers

7 treatment states (FL, MD, MN, NH, NY, OK, PA) vs 17 comparison states. CUD/OUD treatment effect: < 0.005 percentage points. New treatment initiation: < 0.009 pp. Overdose care: < 0.0005 pp. All p > 0.05.

How They Did This

Difference-in-differences and augmented synthetic control analyses comparing Medicare beneficiaries with chronic noncancer pain in 7 states implementing medical cannabis laws versus 17 comparison states without such laws. Examined CUD and OUD treatment and overdose-related healthcare utilization.

Why This Research Matters

Medical cannabis laws are often justified partly by the potential to reduce opioid harms for pain patients. This rigorous analysis finds no evidence of this effect among Medicare beneficiaries, adding to the mixed evidence on cannabis-opioid substitution.

The Bigger Picture

This adds to growing evidence that the population-level effects of medical cannabis laws on opioid outcomes are minimal. While individual patients may benefit from cannabis-opioid substitution, the effect does not appear at a scale detectable in Medicare claims data.

What This Study Doesn't Tell Us

Medicare population tends to be older and may not represent all chronic pain patients. Claims data cannot determine whether patients actually used medical cannabis. State-level policy implementation varies. The study examines treatment-seeking, not opioid use itself.

Questions This Raises

  • ?Do medical cannabis laws affect opioid outcomes in younger or privately insured populations?
  • ?Would cannabis-specific treatment programs within pain clinics produce different results?

Trust & Context

Key Stat:
Less than 0.005 percentage point effect on opioid treatment
Evidence Grade:
Difference-in-differences and synthetic control analyses of Medicare claims. Strong quasi-experimental design comparing 7 treatment and 17 comparison states.
Study Age:
Published in 2025 in The Milbank Quarterly.
Original Title:
The Impact of Medical Cannabis Laws on Cannabis and Opioid Use Disorder Treatment and Overdose-Related Health Care Utilization Among Adults With Chronic Noncancer Pain.
Published In:
The Milbank quarterly, 103(S1), 411-434 (2025)
Database ID:
RTHC-07102

Evidence Hierarchy

Meta-Analysis / Systematic Review
Randomized Controlled Trial
Cohort / Case-ControlFollows or compares groups over time
This study
Cross-Sectional / Observational
Case Report / Animal Study

Looks back at existing records to find patterns.

What do these levels mean? →

Frequently Asked Questions

Does medical cannabis help with the opioid crisis?

At the population level, this study found no effect of medical cannabis laws on opioid treatment or overdose among chronic pain patients. Individual patients may benefit, but the effect does not translate to measurable population-level changes.

Why focus on Medicare patients?

Medicare covers a large population of adults with chronic noncancer pain, including those under 65 on disability. This population has high opioid exposure and stands to benefit most from effective substitution.

Read More on RethinkTHC

Cite This Study

RTHC-07102·https://rethinkthc.com/research/RTHC-07102

APA

McGinty, Emma E; Wagle, Pradhyumna; Luo, Christie Lee; Seewald, Nicholas J; Stuart, Elizabeth A; Tormohlen, Kayla N. (2025). The Impact of Medical Cannabis Laws on Cannabis and Opioid Use Disorder Treatment and Overdose-Related Health Care Utilization Among Adults With Chronic Noncancer Pain.. The Milbank quarterly, 103(S1), 411-434. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0009.70052

MLA

McGinty, Emma E, et al. "The Impact of Medical Cannabis Laws on Cannabis and Opioid Use Disorder Treatment and Overdose-Related Health Care Utilization Among Adults With Chronic Noncancer Pain.." The Milbank quarterly, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0009.70052

RethinkTHC

RethinkTHC Research Database. "The Impact of Medical Cannabis Laws on Cannabis and Opioid U..." RTHC-07102. Retrieved from https://rethinkthc.com/research/mcginty-2025-the-impact-of-medical

Access the Original Study

Study data sourced from PubMed, a service of the U.S. National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health.

This study breakdown was produced by the RethinkTHC research team. We analyze and report published research findings without making health recommendations. All interpretations are based solely on the published abstract and study data.