Medical Cannabis Laws Had No Effect on Opioid Treatment or Overdose in Chronic Pain Patients
Among Medicare patients with chronic noncancer pain in 7 states, medical cannabis laws had no measurable effect on cannabis or opioid use disorder treatment or overdose-related healthcare use.
Quick Facts
What This Study Found
Medical cannabis laws had estimated effects of less than 0.005 percentage points on CUD or OUD treatment, less than 0.009 points on new treatment initiation, and less than 0.0005 points on overdose-related care (all p > 0.05). The findings do not support the hypothesis that medical cannabis laws reduce opioid-related harms among chronic pain patients.
Key Numbers
7 treatment states (FL, MD, MN, NH, NY, OK, PA) vs 17 comparison states. CUD/OUD treatment effect: < 0.005 percentage points. New treatment initiation: < 0.009 pp. Overdose care: < 0.0005 pp. All p > 0.05.
How They Did This
Difference-in-differences and augmented synthetic control analyses comparing Medicare beneficiaries with chronic noncancer pain in 7 states implementing medical cannabis laws versus 17 comparison states without such laws. Examined CUD and OUD treatment and overdose-related healthcare utilization.
Why This Research Matters
Medical cannabis laws are often justified partly by the potential to reduce opioid harms for pain patients. This rigorous analysis finds no evidence of this effect among Medicare beneficiaries, adding to the mixed evidence on cannabis-opioid substitution.
The Bigger Picture
This adds to growing evidence that the population-level effects of medical cannabis laws on opioid outcomes are minimal. While individual patients may benefit from cannabis-opioid substitution, the effect does not appear at a scale detectable in Medicare claims data.
What This Study Doesn't Tell Us
Medicare population tends to be older and may not represent all chronic pain patients. Claims data cannot determine whether patients actually used medical cannabis. State-level policy implementation varies. The study examines treatment-seeking, not opioid use itself.
Questions This Raises
- ?Do medical cannabis laws affect opioid outcomes in younger or privately insured populations?
- ?Would cannabis-specific treatment programs within pain clinics produce different results?
Trust & Context
- Key Stat:
- Less than 0.005 percentage point effect on opioid treatment
- Evidence Grade:
- Difference-in-differences and synthetic control analyses of Medicare claims. Strong quasi-experimental design comparing 7 treatment and 17 comparison states.
- Study Age:
- Published in 2025 in The Milbank Quarterly.
- Original Title:
- The Impact of Medical Cannabis Laws on Cannabis and Opioid Use Disorder Treatment and Overdose-Related Health Care Utilization Among Adults With Chronic Noncancer Pain.
- Published In:
- The Milbank quarterly, 103(S1), 411-434 (2025)
- Authors:
- McGinty, Emma E(5), Wagle, Pradhyumna, Luo, Christie Lee, Seewald, Nicholas J, Stuart, Elizabeth A, Tormohlen, Kayla N
- Database ID:
- RTHC-07102
Evidence Hierarchy
Looks back at existing records to find patterns.
What do these levels mean? →Frequently Asked Questions
Does medical cannabis help with the opioid crisis?
At the population level, this study found no effect of medical cannabis laws on opioid treatment or overdose among chronic pain patients. Individual patients may benefit, but the effect does not translate to measurable population-level changes.
Why focus on Medicare patients?
Medicare covers a large population of adults with chronic noncancer pain, including those under 65 on disability. This population has high opioid exposure and stands to benefit most from effective substitution.
Read More on RethinkTHC
Cite This Study
https://rethinkthc.com/research/RTHC-07102APA
McGinty, Emma E; Wagle, Pradhyumna; Luo, Christie Lee; Seewald, Nicholas J; Stuart, Elizabeth A; Tormohlen, Kayla N. (2025). The Impact of Medical Cannabis Laws on Cannabis and Opioid Use Disorder Treatment and Overdose-Related Health Care Utilization Among Adults With Chronic Noncancer Pain.. The Milbank quarterly, 103(S1), 411-434. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0009.70052
MLA
McGinty, Emma E, et al. "The Impact of Medical Cannabis Laws on Cannabis and Opioid Use Disorder Treatment and Overdose-Related Health Care Utilization Among Adults With Chronic Noncancer Pain.." The Milbank quarterly, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0009.70052
RethinkTHC
RethinkTHC Research Database. "The Impact of Medical Cannabis Laws on Cannabis and Opioid U..." RTHC-07102. Retrieved from https://rethinkthc.com/research/mcginty-2025-the-impact-of-medical
Access the Original Study
Study data sourced from PubMed, a service of the U.S. National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health.
This study breakdown was produced by the RethinkTHC research team. We analyze and report published research findings without making health recommendations. All interpretations are based solely on the published abstract and study data.