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Study breakdown

Cannabis Users Are More Sensitive to Cigarette Price Increases Than Non-Users

Cross SectionalStrong evidence
The takeaway

Smokers who also use cannabis are significantly more responsive to cigarette price increases than non-cannabis-using smokers, suggesting tobacco taxes are especially effective for co-users.

Tobacco control researchers, policymakers setting cigarette tax rates, public health professionals, and anyone interested in the interaction between cannabis and tobacco markets.

What the researchers found

Cannabis-using smokers had total cigarette demand elasticity of -0.47 vs. -0.36 for non-users, meaning they were more likely to reduce or quit smoking when cigarette prices increased.

Why it matters

As cannabis use rises and cigarette smoking declines, understanding how these markets interact helps design more effective tobacco control policy. If co-users are more price-sensitive, tobacco taxes provide extra benefit for this growing subgroup.

The numbers in context

2004-2019 data, ~50,000 adults/year. Smoking declined 24.5% to 16.6%. Cannabis use rose 5.8% to 11.6%. Co-use rose 3.6% to 4.5%. Total demand elasticity: -0.47 (cannabis users) vs. -0.36 (non-users).

How the study worked

Two-part econometric model analyzing cross-sectional NSDUH data from 2004-2019 (annual mean ~50,000 adults), comparing cigarette price elasticity between current cannabis users and non-users.

What this study cannot tell us

Cross-sectional data cannot establish causation. Self-reported substance use may be inaccurate. Price measures may not capture local variation. Cannot determine if cannabis is a substitute for cigarettes.

How to read the evidence

Large national dataset spanning 15 years with robust econometric methods — strong evidence for the price sensitivity difference.

When this study was published

Analysis covering 2004-2019, capturing the period of rising cannabis normalization alongside declining smoking rates.

The bigger picture

Co-use of cannabis and tobacco is growing as cannabis normalizes. The finding that co-users are more price-sensitive to cigarettes suggests that cannabis availability may actually help people quit smoking when combined with higher tobacco prices.

Questions still open

  • Does cannabis use directly make people more willing to quit smoking, or do co-users have different economic profiles? Could cannabis be positioned as a harm reduction tool for smoking cessation?

Common questions

Are people who use cannabis more likely to quit smoking?
This study found they're more responsive to cigarette price increases — meaning tobacco taxes are especially effective at reducing smoking among cannabis users. Whether cannabis directly aids quitting is a separate question.
Is cannabis replacing cigarettes?
Co-use is actually rising (3.6% to 4.5%), but smoking is declining overall. The interaction is complex — cannabis users may be more willing to drop cigarettes when prices rise because they have an alternative substance.

Read the original research

Differential Responsiveness to Cigarette Prices by U.S. Adults Who Do and Do Not Use Cannabis.

Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco

Citation

Yao, Tingting; Sung, Hai-Yen; Chu, Lela; Spetz, Joanne; Max, Wendy. (2025). Differential Responsiveness to Cigarette Prices by U.S. Adults Who Do and Do Not Use Cannabis.. Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco. https://doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntaf205

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